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Gold Hits Record High on Dollar Woes

Gold prices surged to a historic high, reaching $2,135.39 an ounce, as market optimism grows over the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest rate cuts in the coming year. The precious metal, often considered a safe-haven investment, experienced profit-taking but continued to trade at $2,069.01. The recent decline in the US dollar further boosted gold’s appeal.

Analysts attribute the rise in gold prices not only to the weakened dollar but also to escalating tensions in the Israel-Hamas conflict. Investors, seeking refuge in safe-haven assets, have turned to gold amid concerns about the global economic landscape.

Victoria Scholar, Head of Investment at Interactive Investor, stated, “Concerns about the shaky global economic backdrop and the Israel-Hamas conflict have fueled investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Plus, expectations for Fed rate cuts next year have put downward pressure on the US dollar, adding to gold’s attractiveness.”

Bitcoin also saw a resurgence, surpassing $40,000 for the first time since May, buoyed by expectations that the United States might soon approve broader trading of the cryptocurrency. The Securities and Exchange Commission is anticipated to greenlight the sale of the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by next month.

Despite efforts by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to temper expectations of US rate cuts in the first quarter of 2024, markets are betting on easing monetary policy. Powell remarked that the Federal Reserve was “well into restrictive territory,” prompting increased speculation about potential rate cuts.

Traders are currently pricing in a 60 percent chance of a US rate cut, with full expectations of one in May. The appeal of gold as a hedge against recession risks further contributes to the precious metal’s bullish trend.

In equities trading, China Evergrande, a troubled developer facing over $300 billion in liabilities, experienced a brief surge of over 13 percent. The surge followed a court’s decision to allow extra time for the company to formulate a restructuring plan, aiming to avoid liquidation.

Global markets responded with mixed movements, with major stock markets in Europe and Asia experiencing fluctuations. Oil prices faced a decline amidst the evolving economic landscape.

As geopolitical tensions persist and economic uncertainties linger, investors continue to navigate shifting market dynamics, closely monitoring developments that impact traditional safe-haven assets like gold.

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